Saturday, January 5, 2019

2019 NFL Wild Card Picks

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (-1.5) - Two fairly evenly matched teams that each won on the opposing team's stadium.   The Colts have allowed 18 sacks this season and have not allowed a sack in 5 games although they have the 2nd most holding penalties.  The difference in the game could be the Texans receiving depth who are already missing their 2nd, 3rd, and 4th receiver on the depth chart.  That being said DeAndre Hopkins is still a beast- the Colts limited him to 36 yards and a touchdown in the last matchup although Hopkins went off for 136 yards and hasn't recorded a dropped pass.  The last matchup may not be indicative of what happens today given that the Colts needed the win much more at the time.  

Seattle Seahawks(+2) @ Dallas Cowboys - Seattle beat the Dallas earlier in the season 24-13, although this time around the Cowboys have Amari Cooper so the game should be closer.  The Cowboys are also 7-1 at home this season.  While I do think the Cowboys' defense should be menacing, I have more trust in Russell Wilson than Dak Presscott if this game becomes close.  Also, Amari Cooper has seemed to come back to earth.    

LA Chargers (+2.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - The Ravens are 6-1 with Lamar Jackson.  If Jackson played 16 games, he would be second in rushing attempts only behind Ezekiel Elliot.  Jackson already has more rushing yards than Phillip Rivers in his entire career.   That being said, their have been some chinks in the armor exposed by the Browns last week and a healthy Melvin Gordon could be enough to help Phillip Rivers get a passing game going assuming Keenan Allen is healthy.    

Philadelphia Eagles (+6.5) @ Chicago Bears   - Is the Eagles defense back that held the Washington Redskins to lowest yardage for the team in 8 year?  Nick Foles also left the field banged up but his appear to be bruised.  The Bears essentially took care of Cousins in a meaningless game and it makes me wonder if the Bears can take care of another Michigan State quarterback in Foles like they did last week in Cousins.  But the Eagles are the defending the champions and could do enough to keep it close.   


Week 17 Against the Spread: 10-6-
Week 17 Straight Up: 11-5
Week 17 Locks: 3-1

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-106-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-85-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110  

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