2019 NFL Divisional Round Picks

Andy Reid attempts to get Kansas City to the conference 

championship which it hasn't done since 1993 with Joe Montana

Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas Chiefs (-5) - The Colts can move the ball well but the Chiefs are simply too explosive in this one if this becomes a shootout.  DeShaun Watson simply could not get going for whatever the reason, I feel like Mahomes is playing at another level who is likely going to win MVP after throwing 50 touchdowns.  Marlon Mack ran for 148 last week against a great Houston TEexan's defense which is worrisome.  That being said, the Chief's homefield could give them the advantage in this one against the Colts' who are a dome team. 

DeMarcus Lawrence was asked for his thoughts on Jared Goff: “He’s a quarterback. I don’t like quarterbacks.”

What about Dak Prescott?

“Dak’s my teammate. If he wasn’t, I wouldn’t like him either. He knows it.”

— Jon Machota (@jonmachota) January 10, 2019

Dallas Cowboys (+7)@ Los Angeles Rams - Dallas looks to apply the same formula in stopping the run like they did against Seattle.  The Rams defense may not be great at stopping the run despite all the talent they have along that defensive front.  Todd Gurley is also banged up and the Rams haven't been as explosive without Cooper Kupp.  Plus the Cowboys may have a lot of fans in LA.  Sean McVay may have enough in the bag to pull the Rams out with a win.

Los Angeles Chargers (+4) @ New England Patriots - This is an interesting game as it goes back to the origins of why the Patriots became great in the first place in the tuck game where the Patriots celebrated making snow angels.  In the meantime, the LA Chargers come to town who are actually better on the road this season than at home.  Bill Belichick should develop a good game plan but at the same time on paper, the Chargers seem to have a better running game, better wide receivers and a much better defensive pass rush. 

Eagles have faced Aaron Donald, J.J. Watt and Khalil Mack during their four-game winning streak.

Those three players have combined for a TOTAL of zero sacks and three QB hits against them.

Big credit to the offensive line and coaches for game-planning.

— Sheil Kapadia (@SheilKapadia) January 7, 2019

Drew Brees held his high school record for passing yards and 

touchdowns until 2006 when it was broken by Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles (+8) @ New Orleans Saints - The Saints did beat the Eagles 45-7 earlier this season.  That being said, the Eagles appear to be a differently run team whose secondary has improved enough to slow down the LA Rams and Chicago Bears.  Plus New England might take a while to shake off some cobwebs after not really playing well for the past 3 weeks. The Saints explosive offense and homefield should be enough to carry them to victory but perhaps they do not blow out the Eagles in the same fashion as they did earlier in the season given the nature of the playoffs where the underdogs were 3-0-1 against the spread so far this postseason.

2019 Postseason against the spread: 2-1-1
2019 Postseason: 1-3

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-106-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-85-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110