Saturday, December 8, 2018

Week 14 Picks

The battle for the NFC East 
continues as the Eagles face the Cowboys on the road

Italicized for win
Bolded for spread

Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns (+2) - Browns are a better team at home.  The Panthers are now 1-5 on the road, Cam Newton has played so bad that he looks like he is injured and may need to have surgery this offseason. 



Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5)(LOCK) - The Chiefs looked a bit shaky even scoring points but gave up 33 points to the Raiders.  The Ravens are coming off 3 wins against pretty bad NFL teams including Bengals, Raiders, and the Falcons.  While the Raiders certainly could expose the Chiefs a bit defensively and run the ball on them, the Chiefs explosive offense is still tough to be reckoned with but it could be a single score game. The Chiefs are 32nd in rush defense which does open the door for Baltimore but could have a letdown on the road. 

Indianapolis Colts (+5) @ Houston Texans - This is a must win game for the Colts coming off a shutout loss. Texans have allowed less than 16 points in the last 5 weeks.  The last meeting between these two teams went to overtime. 

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins (+7.5)  - The New England Patriots dominated the Dolphins the first time around.  Tom Brady has looked mediocre at times in Miami.  Miami's offensive performance was pretty bad last week in which they only had 2 3rd down conversions and 175 yards totals.  The Patriots look to clinch their 10th straight division.  The Patriots are 1-5 in their last 6 road games in December.




New York Giants (-3) @ Washington Redskins - The Giants have the 3rd most 20 yards or greater plays in the last 7 weeks.   The Redskins now have 6 offensive linemen on IR and 2 quarterbacks who apparently shared a hospital room together this past week. 

New Orleans Saints (-8) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tampa Bay took the Saints by surprise by beating them in week 2 and came away with a surprising win against the Carolina Panthers.  The Saints appear to be licking their wounds after a tough loss to the Dallas Cowboys.   It is still too early to write off the Saints who probably remember how the Bucs beat them after week 1 and get a healthy Traqoun Smith back.

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers (-5) - The Packers are coming off their first loss to the Cardinals since 1949 and the Falcons are also struggling with their 3rd consecutive loss to the Baltimore Ravens.  The Packers might get a boost from firing their head coach although their replacement Joe Philbin is known for getting quit on by the Miami Dolphins.

New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills(-3.5)(LOCK) - Rookie Sam Darnold and Josh Allen battle. 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers (-14) - The Bengals appeared to have mailed it in a bit after two straight losses of 14 or more points. AJ Green is out for the season. 

Denver Broncos (-3.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - Phillip Lindsay the undrafted rookie out of Colorado has emerged for the Denver Broncos.  While Emanuel Sanders is out for the Broncos, Breida is out for the 49ers.

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - The Cowboys defense looks like it playing at another level while the Eagles appear to have righted the ship against teams they were supposed to beat like the New York Giants and the Washington Redskins. 

Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals (+3) - This is potentially a really close game against two teams eliminated from playoff contention. 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Oakland Raiders (+10.5) - Pittsburgh gave up a ton of big plays against the Chargers.  The Raiders played the Chiefs pretty close last week.

Los Angeles Rams (-3) @ Chicago Bears - Mitchell Trubisky is cleared to comeback.

Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)(LOCK) -The Seahawks have now won 6 straight games.  Kirk Cousins could have trouble for the 2nd straight game on the road.

Week 14 Against the Spread: 0-1
Week 13 Straight Up: 1-0

2018 Season against the Spread- 80-78-4
2018 Season Straight Up- 97-62-2
2018 Locks- 12-11-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110  

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