Sunday, December 2, 2018

Week 13 Picks

Italicized for win
Bolded for spread

Chicago Bears(-4)(LOCK) @ New York Giants - Chase Daniel returns.  The Giants will have trouble scoring as much as they did against the Eagles who were very banged up.  The Bears look to get it going on the ground which the Adams and the Eagles were able to expose the Giants last week in the 2nd round.

Arizona Cardinals (+14) @ Green Bay Packers - While the Cardinals are massive underdogs, the Packers have not always proven to be dominant against NFC West including a 3 point win against the 49ers.

Indianapolis Colts(-4) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Leonard Fournette is suspended meaning the Jaguars will face an even tougher road against a Colts team that has been playing very well.  The Jaguars also are benching Bortles over Cody Kessler. 

Cleveland Browns (+5.5) @ Houston Texans  - Both teams are winning streaks entering this game.  The Texans are coming off a short week but should be able to pose a more significant challenge than the Falcons or Bengals the prior two weeks.  However, the Browns can do enough to keep it close.

Carolina Panthers (-3.5)(LOCK) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Carolina needs to get it together soon after suffering their 3rd straight loss.  They can do it against the Bucs otherwise their postseason hopes will be diminished greatly. 

Buffalo Bills (+4.5) @ Miami Dolphins -  Both teams are coming off surprising underdog wins.  Tannehill return makes the Dolphins slightly more formidable at home although it could potentially be a lose game if the Bears defense can clamp down on its other Dolphins like it has the past two weeks.  Dolphins are 7-0 Tanehill's last 7 starts. 

Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals (+5) - The Broncos are the hotter team at the moment with impressive wins over the Chargers.  That being said, if AJ Green returns this could be a touch win for the Broncos although one has to wonder why the Bengals will risk him being injured. 

Baltimore Ravens(+1) @ Atlanta Falcons -  The battle of the birds where both have different flight trajectories.  The Ravens appear to be taking off with Lamar Jackson at the helm. The Falcons can't glide consistently enough with poor showings against the Browns, Cowboys, in the past two weeks.  That being said, the could be a tough out at home although they can't seem to slow down the running attack of the Ravens. 

Los Angeles Rams (-10) @ Detroit Lions - The Lions are not complete walk over although the extra rest coming off a Thursday night game won't help them much against a Rams team coming off a bye and looking to clinch the division.

Kansas City Chiefs(-14.5) @ Oakland Raiders - Kareem Hunt exits and the Chiefs will have to rely upon Spencer Ware who may not be able to fill Kareem Hunts shoes although he did have a big game against the Raiders in his last outing. 

New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans (-7.5) -  The Titans did blow out the Patriots but that seems ages ago after suffering back to back losses against their division rials.  They look to rebound against the Jets who appear to be falling apart.  Jets have lost their lost five games by 86 points which is an average of 17.5 points per game. 

Minnesota Vikings @ New England Patriots (-5) - Can Kirk Cousins really be the franchise savior the Vikings were looking for after a nice win at home against the Packers?  It will be tough against the Patriots on the road. 

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (-9.5)(LOCK) - Seattle looks to bash the 49ers in at home. 

Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)- Both team suffered bad losses but both look to pick it up the following week.  The Chargers traveling from West to east appear to be at a disadvantage here as well being without Melvin Gordon.

Washington Redskins (+7) @ Philadelphia Eagles - A Monday night game that could decide the division or at least be the final team that competes with the Dallas Cowboys.  The Redskins Monday night woes are well noted although the Eagles haven't been much better lately.  They have already lost to the Cowboys at home.  Chris Thompson returning should give Washington a much needed boost assuming the Eagles don't figure out how to stop a passing attack of the Redskins.  The Redskins are 2-14 in their last 16 games on Monday Night. 

Week 13 Against the Spread: 0-1
Week 13 Straight Up: 0-1

2018 Season against the Spread- 80-77-4
2018 Season Straight Up- 96-62-2
2018 Locks- 11-9-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110  

No comments: