Sunday, September 28, 2014

My Week 4 Picks Against the Spread

Date & TimeFavoriteSpreadUnderdog
9/28 1:00 ETMiami-3.5Oakland
(At London)
9/28 1:00 ETGreen Bay-1.5At Chicago
9/28 1:00 ETAt Houston-3Buffalo
9/28 1:00 ETAt Indianapolis-7.5Tennessee
9/28 1:00 ETAt Baltimore-3Carolina
9/28 1:00 ETDetroit-1.5At NY Jets
9/28 1:00 ETAt Pittsburgh-7.5Tampa Bay
9/28 4:05 ETAt San Diego-13Jacksonville
9/28 4:25 ETAt San Francisco-4.5Philadelphia
9/28 4:25 ETAtlanta-3At Minnesota
9/28 8:30 ETNew Orleans-3At Dallas
   Monday Night Football Point Spread
9/29 8:30 ETNew England-3At Kansas City

Byes: Arizona, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Denver, Seattle, St. Louis


- Miami and Oakland have both been struggling.  I am taking Miami in this one since they showed more in their opening win against New England, although they are without Knowshon Moreno.
- The Packers have been struggling especially last week against the Lions.  I expect Green Bay to rebound against the Bears whose defense is hit or miss.  
- I'm taking Houston at home in this one.  Ryan Fitzpatrick plays against his former team.
- Jake Locker is out and Charlie Whitehurst is starting.  I'm going to go with the Colts to take care of business.
- Baltimore has been playing well since they can run the ball plus Steve Smith looks to get revenge against his former team.  The Panthers are banged up and lost to the Steelers.  The Ravens should win.
- The Jets are so far 0-2 against the NFC North.  I'm looking for that trend to continue with the Lions coming up on top over the Jets.
- Tampa Bay has been flat out terrible and Pittsburgh has been playing well.   I have to go with the Steelers here.
- Yes the Chargers have been playing well- still 13 points is a lot of points.  I'm reluctantly taking Jacksonville here to cover.
- For San Francisco, this is a must win since they are already 1-2 in a competitive NFC East.  I'm still trying to figure out if the Eagles are a legit 3-0.  Still, the 49ers should rebound against a decimated Eagles offensive line and not so great defense.
- Atlanta plays the Adrian Petersonless Vikings who will start Terry Bridgewater.  The Falcons offense should get enough points to cover here.
- New Orleans is on the road here but in Dallas they never have much of a homefield advantage so I'm thinking the Saints should cover.  
- The Chiefs have been playing well; still the Patriots should win here.  

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