Friday, December 16, 2022

NFL Week 15 Picks

Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings (-4) - The Cowboys really took advantage of the Colts who appear to struggle more on the road under this iteration of Jeff Saturday.   

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns (-2.5) - The Ravens offense has taken a hit without Lamar Jackson, only putting up 10 points although the Broncos were not able to punish the Ravens given that Russell Wilson was knocked out of the game.  In a division rivalry game, the Browns may come up on top as Deshaun Watson should be enough to propel them past the Ravens.

[Parrino] The Dolphins used propane heaters on the sidelines in LA where it was 55 degrees. Weather reports for Buffalo this Saturday call for snow and temperatures in the 20s. (msn.com)


Miami Dolphins (+7.5) @ Buffalo Bills  - The Dolphins beat the Bills earlier this season on the road.  The cold weather could favor Buffalo.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (+9) - The Bears are generally a better home team including a surprising home win against the 49ers while the Eagles tend looks to be the best opponent that the Bears have faced home.  The defense can do enough to keep it close although there is a chance that Justin Fields could take them out of the game.

The #Lions have now won five out of their last six games. They're 6-7 on the season and very much alive in the NFC.

Detroit Lions (Pick'em) @ New York Jets - Both of these teams have outperformed their season expectations.  Still, with Zach Wilson back in the lineup could reduce the Jets probability of a win.  

Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) @ Carolina Panthers - The Panthers have won 3 of their past 4 games but have generally struggled against AFC North teams.  The Steelers have taken care of business against below .500 teams.

Kansas City Chiefs (-14) @ Houston Texans -  This may be the most lopsided matchup of the week especially if Dameon Pierce ends up missing some time.    

Atlanta Falcons (+4)  @ New Orleans Saints - Atlanta has struggled on the road in recent weeks. Desmond Ridder makes his debut against Dennis Allen.  

Dallas Cowboys (-4.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars- The Jaguars have not won consecutive games since Weeks 2 and 3.  The Cowboys in the meantime are on a 4 game winning streak since their surprise loss to the Packers and could dominate the running game.

Arizona Cardinals @ Denver Broncos (-3) - In what should be a low scoring game, the Broncos will turn to a rookie quarterback while the Cardinals should struggle immensely without Kyler Murray although the Broncos lack of offense could keep the game close.  

New England Patriots (-1) @ Las Vegas Raiders - The Raiders 3 game winning streak came to an end last week.  This is a must win game for the Patriots as their schedule gets significantly harder after this game.   

Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers (-3 ) - Derrick Henry could be due for a big game as the Chargers are  one of the worst rushing defenses in the league.  Although without Treylon Burks, the Titans do lack the explosiveness to keep up with the Chargers offense.

Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The Bucs inability to protect Brady from pressure could hurt Tampa in this one as the Bengals have won their last 8 games even with injuries to their wide receiving corps.

New York Giants (+4.5) @ Washington Commanders- The winner of this game will likely make the playoffs.  The last time these teams battled for a tie.  The Commanders homefield doesn't mean much in what should be a relatively close game.   

Los Angeles Rams (+7) @ Green Bay Packers - Baker Mayfield is coming off a surprise win.  Although Aaron Rodgers may be coming off his injury from a bye.


 Week 14 Against the Spread - 6-5

Week 14 Straight Up -  11-1

2022 Against the spread - 105-94-4

2022 Straight up - 130-74-1

2021 Against the Spread- 151-127-1

2021 Straight Up- 162-101-1
2021 Locks - 10-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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