Thursday, November 22, 2018

Week 12 Thanksgiving Picks

Colt McCoy's only win as a starter with
 Washington came against the Cowboys

Italicized for win
Bolded for spread




Chicago Bears (-3) @ Detroit Lions - This is a battle of attrition on a short week where Bears starting quarterback Mitchell Trubisky is out as well as Lions starting running back Kerryon Johnson and wide receiver Marvin Jones. Chase Daniel makes his first start since 2014.  In 2013, he filled in nicely for the Chiefs as a backup then to Alex Smith as the Chiefs beat the Redskins 45-10.  Daniel has never thrown for more than a TD in game but he has a more than capable running game and defense to help him out.  The Lions have wins against the Patriots and Panthers but also have lost to the Jets and 49ers. 





Washington Redskins (+7.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - The dropoff between Alex Smith and Colt McCoy may be overstated in this line.  Dallas is also traveling from Atlanta to Dallas.  The Cowboys are coming off a win against the Falcons who easily dismantled Washington coming off a bye.  The Redskins are coming off a loss to the Texans team that also beat Dallas earlier in the season.  When McCoy was inserted into the game, Washington outscored the Texans 14-6. The Cowboys did lose a nail biter to Washington earlier in the season.  Pro bowl offensive lineman Trent Williams could be back which could give Washington a much needed boost in what could decide the division.






Atlanta Falcons (+12) @ New Orleans Saints - The Saints appear to be an unstoppable freight train while the Falcons cannot appear to slow down anyone after consecutive losses to the Browns and Cowboys.  The loss to Dallas is more frustrating given that it happened at home and their defense did enough to slow down Dallas.  Strange things can happen in a division rivalry so perhaps the Falcons can keep the game competitive.


Week 11 Against the Spread: 7-5-1
Week 11 Straight Up: 8-5
Week 11 Locks: 1-0-1

2018 Season against the Spread- 74-68-4
2018 Season Straight Up- 86-56-2
2018 Locks- 11-8-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110   

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