Sunday, September 24, 2017

Week 3 Picks 2017

Flacco and the Ravens look to take care of business
against the Jaguars in London

Baltimore -4 @ Jacksonville- 

The Ravens are 2nd in point differential, +34, 2nd only to the Oakland Raiders.

Cleveland @ Indianapolis (+1.5) -



The Colts defense looked much better against the Cardinals.  DeShone Kizer may be a better test than Carson Palmer, although the rookie quarterback threw 3 interceptions against the Ravens

NY Giants @ Philadelphia (-6) -  Philadelphia lost to the Chiefs in week 2 but should have an easier time containing the New York Giants who have failed to score 20 points or more in their last 8 games.  For the Eagles, entering week 3, Zach Ertz had 190 yards which is the 3rd in the NFL, 1st among tight ends, and 11 1st downs, tied for first in the NFL.  


Denver (-2) @ Buffalo- Denver looks like a solid team win a blowout win.  Buffalo's offense seems a bit of a mess although they do have a formidable defense, right now #2 in total defense after two weeks. 

New Orleans @ Carolina (-5.5) - The Saints could make things interesting and perhaps upset Carolina. At the moment they have the #32 ranked defense, then again playing the Patriots has not helped.  Still, I have Carolina winning at home given that the Saints have struggled on the road  and the Saints are still without their top wideout Willie Snead.

Pittsburgh (-7) @ Chicago- 

The Steelers did struggle to put the Browns away on the road but the Steelers seemed to find their groove against the Vikings.

Atlanta (-3) @ Detroit - Atlanta has a better running game which is why I give Atlanta the advantage.

Tampa Bay (-1.5) @ Minnesota-

While Minnesota is clearly a better team at home, the Bucs were nonetheless impressive against the Bears.  

Houston @ New England (-13) - The Patriots should take care of business here after finding their rhythm .  The Texans did put a scare into New England last postseason although I suspect the Patriots offense will have more success against Houston's defense than the Bengals.

Seattle(+2.5) @ Tennessee- 

Perhaps playing a division rival hurt the Seahawks but they do seem vulnerable to a loss against the Titans.  That being said, their defense has been very impressive and Russell Wilson seems to come through in close games in the end.  


Cincinnati @ Green Bay (-7) - Look for the Packers to rebound here at home after a big loss to the Falcons.  The Bengals offense seems to be in disarray as they have failed to score a touchdown this season.  


Kansas City (-3) @ San Diego- While San Diego could easily be 2-0, the Chiefs have been impressive on the road including a blowout win in week 1 against New England

Alex Smith's passing chart
through 2 weeks

Oakland (-3) @ Washington - Washington arguably be the toughest opponent that the Raiders have faced all season. However, the Raiders have a great passing game (Crabtree had 2 receiving TDs last week) and a decent goal line offense with Marshawn Lynch.

It remains unclear if Washington will continue to run the ball like they did in week 2 against the Rams.

Dallas (-3) @ Arizona- People are questioning Elliot's effort in their loss to the Broncos as Zeke finished the game with .9 yards per carry. That being said, the Cardinals barely put away a struggling Colts team and Carson Palmer who is nearing 40 looks and Arizona's offense looks vulnerable without David Johnson

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