Thursday, December 15, 2016

Week 15 Picks

My picks can also be found here on Sports on the Hill at 1h 49min 45 sec mark.  A few picks may have changed from then.  


The Rams move on from Jeff Fisher after a 42-14 loss to the Falcons.


LA (+15.5) @ Seattle  -



Both teams had terrible games last Sunday.  Russell Wilson lost for the 1st time in his career by more than 10 points.  Jeff Fisher has clinched his 11th losing season as head coach and that was enough to get him fired.

There are 4 teams in the NFL to score 10 points or less in at least 4 different games this season: Browns, Jets, Rams, and Seahawks.  Seattle may rebound although they did lose to the Rams this season earlier on the road.  And perhaps the Rams will play with a bit more fire now that Jeff Fisher is out.  

Miami (-2.5)@ New York Jets - Ryan Tanehill is out with a knee injury, Matt Moore could be a competent QB, Moore (16-9 TD as a starter) and has beaten the Jets before.    

Cleveland @ Buffalo (-10) - After losing to the Steelers, the Bills looks to put the clamps on RG3 lead Browns.  Perhaps Griffin will play better in the 2nd consecutive week, but the Browns problems run far deeper than that in their winless season.  

Detroit (+4.5) @ New York - Matthew Stafford has 8 winning drives this season.  The Giants defense has held off last minute winning drives in 8 of their 9 wins.  Something has to give.  

Philadelphia @ Baltimore (-6)- Baltimore looks to get back on track after losing to the Patriots to keep their playoff hopes alive.  Philadelphia is almost eliminated from postseason play and have been terrible on the road so far this season.  

Pittsburgh (3.5) @ Cincinnati - The Steelers are looking to complete the season sweep.  Leveon Bell didn't play the first time but neither did Burfict.   This time the Bengals will be without AJ Green and Bernard.  

Indianapolis @ Minnesota (-3.5) - The Colts may be without a few offensive weapons as TY Hilton and Donte Moncrieff miss practice.  Adrian Peterson could return this Sunday.  

Green Bay (6) @ Chicago - Chicago has been playing better and has played the Lions and Giants close in losses but the Packers looked like a well oiled machine against the Seattle and needs to win this game to keep its playoff hopes alive.  

Tennessee (+5.5) @ Kansas City - The Chiefs looks to cement itself as the best team in the AFC with a win on Sunday.  The Titans could make it a close game though as they are also eyeing a potential playoff spot.  

Jacksonville @ Houston (6)- Another battle of sub-par QBs; Osweiler vs Bortles.  The Texans have the edge because they have better receivers, a decent running game and a decent defense.

New Orleans @ Arizona (-2.5)

The Cardinals defense looks to continue that trend especially since the Saints have struggled on the road this season.

San Francisco @ Atlanta (-13.5) - No Julio Jones but the offense didn't suffer against the Rams especially with the emergence of Taylor Gabriel.  The 49ers did play the Jets close but the Falcons offense is a different beast.

New England (2.5) @ Denver - Rematch of the AFC championship game as the Patriots look to get revenge.  The Broncos offense has been sub-par over the past few weeks.

Oakland (3.5) @ San Diego - Bosa might be out for the Chargers.  The Raiders look to get back on track against a Chargers team that has struggled mightily over the past two weeks.

Tampa Bay (+7.5) @ Dallas - Dallas does need to win this game but the Bucaneers are one of the hottest teams in football and could make this game close.  

Carolina @ Washington (2.5)  - Washington did beat Eagles 27-22 , which is a good omen for them.  Minnesota and Atlanta are 2 teams that lost to the Eagles at Philadelphia and went on to beat Carolina.

Last year, Carolina beat Washington 44-16  although now Josh Norman is on Washington.  Cam Newton's accuracy has been significantly worse this season despite having Kelvin Benjamin back in the lineup.  The Panthers' defense has been suspect this season although they did play well last week against the Chargers.


Last week against the spread: 13-3
Last week straight up - 12-4

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