Thursday, October 1, 2015

Week 4 Picks

DeSean Jackson broke Philadelphia's hearts last year
His status for this game remains uncertain

Baltimore (-3) @ Pittsburgh - Baltimore comes into this game desperate for its first win.  While nearly anything can happen in this bitter rivalry game,t it remains to be seen if Michael Vick can fill in capably as a starter for the injured Big Ben. 

New York Jets @ Miami - This game is in London.  The Jets were abysmal offensively against the Eagles last week while the Miami offense has been terrible all year long on both sides of the ball.

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis (-9) - Indianapolis did seem to find its momentum after overcoming a big deficit against the Tennessee Titans.  Jacksonville in the meantime got trashed by the Patriots.  The Colt could carry back some of the momentum that they got where they established Luck and the run game of Frank Gore.

Houston @ Atlanta (-6.5)- Atlanta remains undefeated.  While I would not rule out a letdown by the Falcons, their defense should get a boost from its home crowd.  tthe Texans offense is still a work in progress with Ryan Mallet under center.  

Carolina (-3) @ Tampa Bay-  Carolina's defense did struggle containing the Saints who were without Drew Brees.  Still, the Panthers defense could give Jameis Winston problems, who could not lead the Bucs to double figures against the Texans.  

New York Giants (+5.5) @ Buffalo - The Bills really put a clinic against the Miami Dolphins.  The Giants also were clicking on all cylinders against Washington.  Eli Manning has not thrown an interception this season.  

Oakland (-3) @ Chicago - Oakland is coming off consecutive wins against the Ravens and the Browns.   Chicago's offense has been terrible with Jimmy Clausen as the starting QB.

Philadelphia @ Washington (+3) - Kirk Cousins and the Redskins offense struggled committing 3 turnovers, 2 of which occurred in the redzone.  Still, Cousins did have his best game of his career last year against the Eagles as Washington lost 38-35.  DeSean Jackson could make his return back from a pulled hamstring, who was greatly responsible for Washington eliminating Philadelphia's postseason hopes.  The Eagles uptempo offense could give Washington problems, but Sam Bradford's performance so far has been a bit shaky thus far.  While the Eagles did come away with a decent win against the Jets, Bradford only threw for 128 yards.   

Kansas City @ Cincinatti (-4)- The Bengals are quietly 3-0 and look to continue their streak against the Chiefs, who are better than there 1-2 record indicate. 

Cleveland @ San Diego (-7.5) - The Chargers look to rebound after a tough loss to Minnesota after failing to contain Adrian Peterson.  Cleveland could be in trouble if this becomes a high scoring shootout.   

San Francisco @ Green Bay (-8.5) - Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 48 TDs and 0 interceptions in his last 18 home games.  Colin Kaepernick has been shaky so far this season, he could be due for a big game against Green Bay but even that might be enough if Rodgers continues his stellar play.  

Minnesota @ Denver (-6.5)- The demise of Peyton Manning may have been overstated so far as the Denver has improved to 3-0.  Denver's defense did a good job last week by forcing the Lions into some terrible turnovers.   Adrian Peterson has rushed for over 100 yards in his past two games but did struggle in his last road game against San Francisco.  

St. Louis @ Arizona (-7) - Arizona's defense managed to score two defensive touchdowns against Colin Kaepernick.  The Cardinals record with Carson Palmer as a starter improved to 15-2.   St. Louis failed to score a TD against Pittsburgh.  I do not expect Arizona to look past St. Louis especially since the Rams did manage to beat Seattle in Week 1.  

Dallas @ New Orleans (-4) - Even without Drew Brees, the Saints scored 24 points against a pretty stingy Panthers' defense.  Brandon Weeden and Dallas's rushing attack scored 28 first half points against Atlanta, but were shut out in the second half by Atlanta.  Perhaps New Orleans could try to emulate Atlanta's defensive strategy, but they should be wary of running back Joseph Randle, who scored 3 touchdowns last week.

Detroit @ Seattle - While Detroit is desperate and looking for its first win, it is always tough for any team to get it going in Seattle with their 12th man.   The matchup between Calvin Johnson and Richard Sherman will be interesting to watch, although I imagine that Sherman will be getting a lot of help from safety Kam Chancellor.  
   
Last Week 13-3
Season 30-17-1

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