2024 Week 12 Picks

The Detroit Lions are reportedly interested in Daniel Jones

(via Mike Payton)

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) @ Chicago Bears- The Bears could come out with a better effort against the Vikings but have consistently been losing games like this.  

Detroit Lions (-7.5) @ Indianapolis Colts - The Colts looked sharpers against the Jets but Anthony Richardson is still inconsistent and the Lions are on a heater.

New England Patriots (+7) @ Miami Dolphins - For now I am tempted to pick the Patriots to keep it close because of Drake Maye's good play although it looks as if the Patriots are a bit shorthanded when it comes to their offensive weapons.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5) @ New York Giants- The Giants have the 4th worst rushing defense this season which could allow Bucky Irving to have a big game.  

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders (-10.5) - Washington has lost their last two weeks but could take care of a Dallas Cowboys team that is starting Cooper Rush.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers(+11)- The Panthers come in on a two game winning streak.  Yes the Chiefs are the superior team although they have not taken care of business against the spread so far this season.

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans (-8.5)- The Titans offense may be the worst in the league while the Texans look for a win here to secure the division.

Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders (+5.5) - The Raiders have struggled lately although they have had some close games against competitive teams like the Chiefs and have pulled off upsets against the Ravens.  Still the Broncos are playing at a high level after a dominant performance against the Falcons.

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers (-2.5)(LOCK) - The 49ers appear to be struggling and will be without Brock Purdy.  Brandon Allen, his replacement, is only 2-7 as a starting quarterback.

Arizona Cardinals(-1) @ Seattle Seahawks - Seattle is coming off a nice win against the 49ers.  The Cardinals are on a 4 game winning streak while Seattle has lost its last 4 games at home.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams (+3)- This could be a toss up game especially since the Rams need this game much more than the Eagles to compete in the tough NFC West.

Baltimore Ravens (-3) @ Los Angeles Chargers - The Ravens are slightly favorites in the Harbaugh bowl because of the advantage not only of their QB but having Derrick Henry.   The Ravens are also coming off a loss and could be playing with a sense of desperation.  

Week 11 Against the Spread- 4-10

Week 11 Straight up – 9-5

Week 11 Locks - 0-1

2024 Against the Spread- 78-77

2024 Straight up- 109-58

2024 Locks – 10-8-1

2024 Week 11 Picks

On October 13th, Caleb Williams had 9 TDs and 5 interceptions.  

On November 17th, he still has 9 TDs and 5 Interceptions (via @wesskywalker)

 Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) - Washington is coming off a short week and their defense has had trouble slowing down the run. 

Green Bay Packers (-6.5) @ Chicago Bears - The Bears defense could slow down the Packers although Caleb William's inconsistency as of late may allow the Packers to take an early lead.

Jacksonville Jaguars(-13) @ Detroit Lions- The Lions could potentially blow out the Jaguars although Trevor Lawrence has been playing slightly better lately.

Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans (+6) - The Vikings playing away from home could make this game relatively close although they can still be explosive and run away with the game.

Las Vegas Raiders (+8) @ Miami Dolphins - Tyreek Hill is a bit banged up.  The Raiders are slightly worse with Tua back but have at times played teams like the Chiefs and Rams close on the road.  

Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots(+4.5)- Being an away game for the Rams could allow the Patriots with a way to compete and Drake Maye has been playing well.

Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints (-1) - Derek Carr is back playing against former Saints quarterback Jameis Winston.  

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets (-4) - The Jets will face Anthony Richardson.  Both teams are heading the wrong direction.

Baltimore Ravens (-3)(LOCK) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - The Steelers played well against the Commanders but will be tested against the Ravens who should give them a healthy dose of Derrick Henry.  

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) @ Denver Broncos - The Falcons could pull out a road win here although Kirk Cousins will need to be on point in the altitude in Denver.  

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - The Seahawks could make the division game close as George Kittle is out with a hamstring injury although Christian McCaffrey is back in the lineup.

Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) @ Buffalo Bills-  A toss up game.  The Chiefs may be locked in order to secure homefield in the playoffs although they have a slight cushion in the NFL standings.  

Cincinnati Bengals  @ Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5)- The Chargers on a whole are a more well rounded team in terms of their defense which could give them the slight edge but I wouldn't rule out Burrow and Chase for teaming up for some explosive plays.

Dallas Cowboys (+7.5) @ Houston Texans - Theoretically could be a blow out although the Texans have been playing down to the level of their competition in games against the Jets and Colts and do not seem as explosive without Diggs.  

Week 10 Against the Spread- 7-7

Week 10Straight up – 10-5

Week 10 Locks - 1-1

2024 Against the Spread- 78-77

2024 Locks – 10-7-1

2024 Straight up- 100-53

2024 Week 10 Picks

Dak Prescott is planning to have season ending surgery

according to ESPN

New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers (+6) - The Giants are not terrible but perhaps the Panthers can keep it to a one score game.

New England Patriots (+6) @ Chicago Bears - Caleb Williams has been struggling over the past two games and goes against Drake Maye.  The Bears defense should make life difficult for Maye although the Bears propensity to not show up is making me wonder to go against them.   This is a must win game for the Bears as their schedule gets significantly harder after this not to mention that every other team in their division is playing well.   

Buffalo Bills (-4) @ Indianapolis Colts - The Colts were not able to hold to their lead against the Vikings.  Flacco and the Colts put up only 13 points.  The Colts offense should be stronger against the Bills although Buffalo could make it a higher scoring affair.

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)- It could be a long day for Bo Nix against the Chiefs defense at Arrowhead.  Only question is if Patrick Mahomes can finally get it going and put the hammer down on the Broncos.

Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) @ New Orleans Saints - The Falcons under Cousins seem to be one of the stronger offenses in the NFL.  The Falcons barely came away with a win the last time these two teams played although the Saints appear to be going in a different direction with injuries to their wide receivers and Carr has reverted back to an inconsistent quarterback  

San Francisco 49ers (-5.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - All signs point to Christian McCaffrey making his return.  Tampa did keep it close against the Chiefs, and the 49ers are traveling from East to West.  Still the 49ers are coming off a bye and look to build momentum for a playoff run.  

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Commanders (-3)-  This could be a close game but the Commanders could be favored based on their ability to run the ball and their quarterback play.  They still have to continue to protect the ball against a feisty Steelers defense.

Minnesota Vikings (-4)(LOCK) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - I don't think anyone had Sam Darnold outplaying Trevor Lawrence but it looks like that is where the Vikings hold the advantage not to mention their superior head coach.   

Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5)  - The Chargers have secured their last two wins by 17 points or more and look to continue that trend against a hapless Titans team.

Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - Cooper Rush is 5-1 as a starter.  Still the Eagles are playing great football although they have a propensity to be inconsistent, the recent trend shows the Eagles competing hard to win the division.  

New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals(-1) - Both teams are coming off wins.   It looks as though the Cardinals are playing better football throughout the season although the Jets building a winning streak is not out of the question

Detroit Lions (-3.5) @ Houston Texans - Houston could have trouble slowing down the Lions' running which could lead to a higher scoring game.  Diggs being out could hurt the Texans offense.

Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) (LOCK)- Perhaps there will be a large Dolphins contingent in LA but the Rams look like the superior team.  

Week 9 Against the Spread- 5-10

Week 9 Straight up – 12-3

Week 9 Locks - 1-0

2024 Against the Spread- 71-70

2024 Locks – 9-6-1

2024 Straight up- 90-48

2024 Week 9 Picks

Joe Flacco gets $100,000 if the Colts wins and he plays 50% of the offensive snaps 

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - The Cowboys are in desperation mode needing a win here.  They looked fairly competent at times against the 49ers but ultimately came up short.  If the Cowboys lose, Mike McCarthy's chances of surviving this season greatly diminish.

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills (-6) - Typically one could assume a close division rivalry game.  But Tua looks a bit conservative in his level of play which could make the battle slightly more uphill on the road in a division rivalry game.

Las Vegas Raiders (+7) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Bengals defense has usually kept their opponents in games.  The Raiders could be in trouble though if this game becomes a shootout.   

Los Angeles Chargers (+2) @ Cleveland Browns - This could be a trap game for the Chargers who are traveling from west to east.  Still, Jameis Winston has been an up and down player in his career and the Chargers defense will see if they can force some turnovers.

New England Patriots (+3.5) @ Tennessee Titans - Both teams are fairly evenly matched and perhaps the Patriots can continue some of their momentum to make this a close game with Drake Maye back in the lineup.  

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants - The Commanders could be due for a let down against the Giants after a miraculous win against the Bears.  Still, it seems like Washington will not take the Giants lightly after a close game in week 2.  Washington did move the ball well but will need to convert in the red zone- a problem they also had against the Bears.   Washington's defense has looked sharper although they will need to be on point against Jones who has had some success against Washington in past seasons.  

New Orleans Saints (-7) @ Carolina Panthers - Derek Carr makes his return.  He could be rusty but the Saints already blew out the Panthers earlier this season.

Denver Broncos (+9.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - This could be a get right game for the Ravens after a terrible loss to the Broncos.  Still this seems like a lot of points especially since the Broncos have been competitive lately.   

Chicago Bears (+1) @ Arizona Cardinals - Interesting game against two teams competing for a playoff spot.  Caleb Williams could bounce back and the Bears defense may be the separating factor of this game.

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (+3.5) - The Packers will have Jordan Love against this one and the Lions while having impressive victories will finally be tested on the road in a division game.

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams (-1.5)(LOCK) - I didn't get the memo last week, but it looks like the Rams are finally healthy.  It could be tough on the road for the Rams, but the overreaction from beating the Vikings could be that the Rams could make a potential playoff run.

Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) @  Minnesota Vikings-  Joe Flacco could do enough to keep this game close.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-9)- The Chiefs have routinely kept their opponents in games but the Bucs are dealing with a fair share of injuries that may force them to tap out if Mahomes shows up.    

Week 8 Against the Spread- 11-5

Week 8 Straight up – 11-5

Week 8 Locks - 3-0

2024 Against the Spread- 66-60

2024 Locks – 8-6-1

2024 Straight up- 78-45