2024 Week 12 Picks

The Detroit Lions are reportedly interested in Daniel Jones

(via Mike Payton)

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) @ Chicago Bears- The Bears could come out with a better effort against the Vikings but have consistently been losing games like this.  

Detroit Lions (-7.5) @ Indianapolis Colts - The Colts looked sharpers against the Jets but Anthony Richardson is still inconsistent and the Lions are on a heater.

New England Patriots (+7) @ Miami Dolphins - For now I am tempted to pick the Patriots to keep it close because of Drake Maye's good play although it looks as if the Patriots are a bit shorthanded when it comes to their offensive weapons.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5) @ New York Giants- The Giants have the 4th worst rushing defense this season which could allow Bucky Irving to have a big game.  

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders (-10.5) - Washington has lost their last two weeks but could take care of a Dallas Cowboys team that is starting Cooper Rush.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers(+11)- The Panthers come in on a two game winning streak.  Yes the Chiefs are the superior team although they have not taken care of business against the spread so far this season.

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans (-8.5)- The Titans offense may be the worst in the league while the Texans look for a win here to secure the division.

Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders (+5.5) - The Raiders have struggled lately although they have had some close games against competitive teams like the Chiefs and have pulled off upsets against the Ravens.  Still the Broncos are playing at a high level after a dominant performance against the Falcons.

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers (-2.5)(LOCK) - The 49ers appear to be struggling and will be without Brock Purdy.  Brandon Allen, his replacement, is only 2-7 as a starting quarterback.

Arizona Cardinals(-1) @ Seattle Seahawks - Seattle is coming off a nice win against the 49ers.  The Cardinals are on a 4 game winning streak while Seattle has lost its last 4 games at home.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams (+3)- This could be a toss up game especially since the Rams need this game much more than the Eagles to compete in the tough NFC West.

Baltimore Ravens (-3) @ Los Angeles Chargers - The Ravens are slightly favorites in the Harbaugh bowl because of the advantage not only of their QB but having Derrick Henry.   The Ravens are also coming off a loss and could be playing with a sense of desperation.  

Week 11 Against the Spread- 4-10

Week 11 Straight up – 9-5

Week 11 Locks - 0-1

2024 Against the Spread- 78-77

2024 Straight up- 109-58

2024 Locks – 10-8-1

2024 Week 11 Picks

On October 13th, Caleb Williams had 9 TDs and 5 interceptions.  

On November 17th, he still has 9 TDs and 5 Interceptions (via @wesskywalker)

 Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) - Washington is coming off a short week and their defense has had trouble slowing down the run. 

Green Bay Packers (-6.5) @ Chicago Bears - The Bears defense could slow down the Packers although Caleb William's inconsistency as of late may allow the Packers to take an early lead.

Jacksonville Jaguars(-13) @ Detroit Lions- The Lions could potentially blow out the Jaguars although Trevor Lawrence has been playing slightly better lately.

Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans (+6) - The Vikings playing away from home could make this game relatively close although they can still be explosive and run away with the game.

Las Vegas Raiders (+8) @ Miami Dolphins - Tyreek Hill is a bit banged up.  The Raiders are slightly worse with Tua back but have at times played teams like the Chiefs and Rams close on the road.  

Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots(+4.5)- Being an away game for the Rams could allow the Patriots with a way to compete and Drake Maye has been playing well.

Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints (-1) - Derek Carr is back playing against former Saints quarterback Jameis Winston.  

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets (-4) - The Jets will face Anthony Richardson.  Both teams are heading the wrong direction.

Baltimore Ravens (-3)(LOCK) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - The Steelers played well against the Commanders but will be tested against the Ravens who should give them a healthy dose of Derrick Henry.  

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) @ Denver Broncos - The Falcons could pull out a road win here although Kirk Cousins will need to be on point in the altitude in Denver.  

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - The Seahawks could make the division game close as George Kittle is out with a hamstring injury although Christian McCaffrey is back in the lineup.

Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) @ Buffalo Bills-  A toss up game.  The Chiefs may be locked in order to secure homefield in the playoffs although they have a slight cushion in the NFL standings.  

Cincinnati Bengals  @ Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5)- The Chargers on a whole are a more well rounded team in terms of their defense which could give them the slight edge but I wouldn't rule out Burrow and Chase for teaming up for some explosive plays.

Dallas Cowboys (+7.5) @ Houston Texans - Theoretically could be a blow out although the Texans have been playing down to the level of their competition in games against the Jets and Colts and do not seem as explosive without Diggs.  

Week 10 Against the Spread- 7-7

Week 10Straight up – 10-5

Week 10 Locks - 1-1

2024 Against the Spread- 78-77

2024 Locks – 10-7-1

2024 Straight up- 100-53

2024 Week 10 Picks

Dak Prescott is planning to have season ending surgery

according to ESPN

New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers (+6) - The Giants are not terrible but perhaps the Panthers can keep it to a one score game.

New England Patriots (+6) @ Chicago Bears - Caleb Williams has been struggling over the past two games and goes against Drake Maye.  The Bears defense should make life difficult for Maye although the Bears propensity to not show up is making me wonder to go against them.   This is a must win game for the Bears as their schedule gets significantly harder after this not to mention that every other team in their division is playing well.   

Buffalo Bills (-4) @ Indianapolis Colts - The Colts were not able to hold to their lead against the Vikings.  Flacco and the Colts put up only 13 points.  The Colts offense should be stronger against the Bills although Buffalo could make it a higher scoring affair.

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)- It could be a long day for Bo Nix against the Chiefs defense at Arrowhead.  Only question is if Patrick Mahomes can finally get it going and put the hammer down on the Broncos.

Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) @ New Orleans Saints - The Falcons under Cousins seem to be one of the stronger offenses in the NFL.  The Falcons barely came away with a win the last time these two teams played although the Saints appear to be going in a different direction with injuries to their wide receivers and Carr has reverted back to an inconsistent quarterback  

San Francisco 49ers (-5.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - All signs point to Christian McCaffrey making his return.  Tampa did keep it close against the Chiefs, and the 49ers are traveling from East to West.  Still the 49ers are coming off a bye and look to build momentum for a playoff run.  

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Commanders (-3)-  This could be a close game but the Commanders could be favored based on their ability to run the ball and their quarterback play.  They still have to continue to protect the ball against a feisty Steelers defense.

Minnesota Vikings (-4)(LOCK) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - I don't think anyone had Sam Darnold outplaying Trevor Lawrence but it looks like that is where the Vikings hold the advantage not to mention their superior head coach.   

Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5)  - The Chargers have secured their last two wins by 17 points or more and look to continue that trend against a hapless Titans team.

Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - Cooper Rush is 5-1 as a starter.  Still the Eagles are playing great football although they have a propensity to be inconsistent, the recent trend shows the Eagles competing hard to win the division.  

New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals(-1) - Both teams are coming off wins.   It looks as though the Cardinals are playing better football throughout the season although the Jets building a winning streak is not out of the question

Detroit Lions (-3.5) @ Houston Texans - Houston could have trouble slowing down the Lions' running which could lead to a higher scoring game.  Diggs being out could hurt the Texans offense.

Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) (LOCK)- Perhaps there will be a large Dolphins contingent in LA but the Rams look like the superior team.  

Week 9 Against the Spread- 5-10

Week 9 Straight up – 12-3

Week 9 Locks - 1-0

2024 Against the Spread- 71-70

2024 Locks – 9-6-1

2024 Straight up- 90-48

2024 Week 9 Picks

Joe Flacco gets $100,000 if the Colts wins and he plays 50% of the offensive snaps 

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - The Cowboys are in desperation mode needing a win here.  They looked fairly competent at times against the 49ers but ultimately came up short.  If the Cowboys lose, Mike McCarthy's chances of surviving this season greatly diminish.

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills (-6) - Typically one could assume a close division rivalry game.  But Tua looks a bit conservative in his level of play which could make the battle slightly more uphill on the road in a division rivalry game.

Las Vegas Raiders (+7) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Bengals defense has usually kept their opponents in games.  The Raiders could be in trouble though if this game becomes a shootout.   

Los Angeles Chargers (+2) @ Cleveland Browns - This could be a trap game for the Chargers who are traveling from west to east.  Still, Jameis Winston has been an up and down player in his career and the Chargers defense will see if they can force some turnovers.

New England Patriots (+3.5) @ Tennessee Titans - Both teams are fairly evenly matched and perhaps the Patriots can continue some of their momentum to make this a close game with Drake Maye back in the lineup.  

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants - The Commanders could be due for a let down against the Giants after a miraculous win against the Bears.  Still, it seems like Washington will not take the Giants lightly after a close game in week 2.  Washington did move the ball well but will need to convert in the red zone- a problem they also had against the Bears.   Washington's defense has looked sharper although they will need to be on point against Jones who has had some success against Washington in past seasons.  

New Orleans Saints (-7) @ Carolina Panthers - Derek Carr makes his return.  He could be rusty but the Saints already blew out the Panthers earlier this season.

Denver Broncos (+9.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - This could be a get right game for the Ravens after a terrible loss to the Broncos.  Still this seems like a lot of points especially since the Broncos have been competitive lately.   

Chicago Bears (+1) @ Arizona Cardinals - Interesting game against two teams competing for a playoff spot.  Caleb Williams could bounce back and the Bears defense may be the separating factor of this game.

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (+3.5) - The Packers will have Jordan Love against this one and the Lions while having impressive victories will finally be tested on the road in a division game.

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams (-1.5)(LOCK) - I didn't get the memo last week, but it looks like the Rams are finally healthy.  It could be tough on the road for the Rams, but the overreaction from beating the Vikings could be that the Rams could make a potential playoff run.

Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) @  Minnesota Vikings-  Joe Flacco could do enough to keep this game close.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-9)- The Chiefs have routinely kept their opponents in games but the Bucs are dealing with a fair share of injuries that may force them to tap out if Mahomes shows up.    

Week 8 Against the Spread- 11-5

Week 8 Straight up – 11-5

Week 8 Locks - 3-0

2024 Against the Spread- 66-60

2024 Locks – 8-6-1

2024 Straight up- 78-45

2024 Week 8 Picks

Cleveland Browns'Myles Garrett

dresses up as Terminator before the Ravens game 

Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams -  The Vikings look to continue their winning ways coming off a bye although Puka has returned back to the lineup.

Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Bengals offense has played better lately although their defense hasn't been tested in a few weeks.  The Eagles are looing to keep pace with the Commanders who beat the Bengals on the road earlier this season. With AJ Brown's return, the Eagles look slightly better than the Bengals although perhaps the Eagles play down to their competition.   

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns(+9) - Perhaps the Browns can keep it close against a division rival although Lamar Jackson running up the score is a distinct possibility.  

Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions (-11) - The Lions are looking to put the hammer down on the Titans who look like one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. 

Arizona Cardinals(+3) @ Miami Dolphins - Tua makes his return meaning a possible revival of Tyreek Hill.  There could be some rust but the Dolphins appear to not be a pushover.  

New York Jets @ New England Patriots (+7)-  The Jets seems to be in perpetual laughing stock although they will get a potential break in playing the Patriots.  Drake Maye will make another start who showed flashes but also committed a few turnovers.

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5) - The Bucs are looking to avenge an overtime loss to the Falcons earlier in the season.  The Falcons are looking to add to its road wins which include games against the Eagles and Panthers.

Green Bay Packers(-4.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - The Jaguars are coming off a win against the lowly Patriots but the Packers are coming off 3 straight wins and looking to continue that trend to keep up with the Lions.

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (-6) - The games between these two division rivals have been lose although the Texans appear to be playing with an axe to grind after a close loss to the Packers.  

New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5) - The Saints look like a shell of their former self without Derek Carr.  The Chargers are coming off a close loss to the Cardinals and look to regain their form.

Buffalo Bills @ Seattle Seahawks(+3.5) - The Bills are a bit banged with their middle line backer Bernard out.  The Seahawks will be without DK Metcalf so the Bills have a chance to pull out a road win here.  

Carolina Panthers @ Denver Broncos (-9) - The Panthers surge with Andy Dalton appears to have been a blip in the pan while the Broncos could run up the score if Bo Nix plays well.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders (+10) - The Antonio Pierce led Raiders did manage to play spoiler against the Chiefs last season.  Mahomes does get a new weapon in DeAndre Hopkins although it could take a bit for him to get acclimated.  

Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders (-1.5)(LOCK) - It looks like Jayden Daniels will play despite the rib injury.  The battle of the number 1 and number 2 picks should be a fun matchup.  The Commanders secondary will be interesting to watch in how it deals with Caleb Williams.  

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers (-4.5)(LOCK) - The Cowboys are coming off a bye to lick its wounds only to face a 49ers team that is looking to rebound from a tough loss to the Chiefs.  It looks like the 49ers just have the Cowboys number.  Dak Prescott needs to show something here for the Cowboys to be taken more seriously in the postseason.

New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)(LOCK) - Daniel Jones was benched against the Eagles.  Things could get ugly here for whoever the Giants decide to roll out at quarterback against a Steelers team that has given the keys to Russell Wilson as a quarterback.   

Week 5 Against the Spread- 6-9

Week 5 Straight up – 7-7

2024 Against the Spread- 55-54

2024 Locks – 5-6-1

2024 Straight up- 67-40

2024 Week 6 Picks

According to Jonathan Jones,  Robert Saleh considered firing Nathaniel Hackett before getting fired himself

San Francisco 49ers (- 3.5) @ Seattle Seahawks - Two teams are coming off surprising losses.   For now I give the edge to the 49ers given Kyle Shanahan's coaching acumen but the Seahawks keeping it close would not be surprising especially with all the injuries the 49ers have been dealing with.  

Jacksonville Jaguars(+2.5) @ Chicago Bears - The Jaguars look to continue their streak of winning at London.

Washington Commanders(+7)(LOCK) @ Baltimore Ravens - It has been some time since the Commanders were featured in the game of the week category.   Both teams have QBs that have been playing lights out (Daniels/Jackson), great running attacks, and tight ends who have been considered washed up (Ertz/Andrews).   The Ravens pass defense has been in question especially with their defensive coordinator going to the Seattle.   Certainly a toss up game, unless the Ravens see something from the game film and can dissect how Daniels has been doing.   

Tampa Bay Bucs (-3.5) @ New Orleans Saints - Derek Carri s out with an injury.  The Bucs suffered a bad loss to Atlanta and this game is a relatively must win given that their schedule gets much harder over the next five (Ravens, Falcons, Chiefs, 49ers).  

Detroit Lions (-3) @ Dallas Cowboys -  The Cowboys pulled out a nice win against Pittsburgh.  The Lions are coming off a bye and look to be a superior team than the Steelers especially in the passing attack.  

Cleveland Browns(+8.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles - DeShaun Watson has reached epic levels of terrible.  Although maybe the Browns can continue the streak of teas that play Washington getting a win.  Maybe but unlikely given the Eagles are coming off a bye and getting AJ Brown back from an injury.

Arizona Cardinals(+5) @ Green Bay Packers - Kyler Murray and the Cardinals looked impressive against the 49ers.  They go against another former Washington assistant head coach in Matt LaFleur.  The Packers might be on par with the injury riddled 49ers plus I'm not sure how consistent the Cardinals are even coming off a win.  

Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos (+3) -  The Chargers are coming off a bye and a  quality loss to the Chiefs where they were held scoreless after the first quarter against the Chiefs.  Still, everything seems to be clicking for the Broncos. who are on a 3 game winning streak.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) @ Las Vegas Raiders - The Steelers look to get right in Las Vegas.  Right now the Steelers seem to be playing better although Fields inconsistency could allow the Raiders to perhaps pull out an upset.  

Houston Texans (-7)(LOCK) @ New England Patriots - The Patriots appear to be a true work in progress and for now appear to be one of the worst teams in the NFL.  Complacency by the Texans could allow the Patriots to remain in the game although an upset seems unlikely.  

Indianapolis Colts (-1) @ Tennessee Titans - The Titans are coming off a bye and Michael Pittman is out with an injury.  In the short term the Colts seem more likely to win if Flacco plays although Richardson may still do enough.  

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (+6) - Two teams that are playing at polar opposites.  Hard to say how the Falcons will play in a easy game but for now one has to project a win against the Panthers whose defense has ben playing at abysmal levels.  

Cincinnati Bengals (-4) @ New York Giants - The Giants are coming off a nice win against the Seahawks.  If the Giants win this game, perhaps the NFC East will be considered significantly stronger then AFC North.   

Buffalo Bills (-4) @ New York Jets - The Jets are testing the theory of winning after firing a head coach.  I would give the Jets a better chance to win the game if they had actually lost to a team that wasn't good last week since the Vikings are undefeated and if Robert Saleh firing coincided with the firing of Nathaniel Hackett. 

Week 5 Against the Spread- 6-8

Week 5 Straight up – 7-7

Week 5 Locks – 2-0

2024 Against the Spread- 39-41

2024 Locks – 4-6

2024 Straight up- 46-32

2024 Week 5 Picks

 

 Davante Adams has requested out of Las Vegas and could be traded. 

Tampa Bay Bucs (+2.5) @Atlanta Falcons - The Bucs with Mayfield have been playing well including Baker Mayfield and Bucky Irving.   The Falcons keep pulling out wins although Cousins and Pitts looked shaky last week. 

New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) (LOCK) (London) – Rodgers looked shaky against the Broncos.   The Vikings defense could force Rodgers into some bad decisions. 

Buffalo Bills (-1.5) @ Houston Texans – The Bills are looking to rebound after a tough loss to the Ravens.  The Texans pulled out a win against the Jaguars, but they easily could have lost if not for a goal line stand.

Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears (-3.5) - Caleb Williams has been playing OK for a rookie quarterback although the Bears fans are hoping that he plays closer to the level of Jayden Daniels.   The Panthers offense looks competent with Andy Dalton although they face a tough Bears defense that does a good job forcing turnovers.    

Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals (+2.5) – Perhaps the Bengals can pull out a win against a division rival although they will have their hands full with Derrick Henry

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-1) - Drake Maye is not scheduled to play yet.  The Dolphins offense has looked dreadful without Tua. 

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) – The Colts could take a bit of a hit with Jonathan Taylor out, although the Jaguars have been finding ways to lose all season.  The Jaguars gave up 2^nd half leads to the Dolphins and the Texans- maybe they are due for a win.  Jacksonville beat Indianapolis twice last season by double digits. 

Las Vegas Raiders (+3) @ Denver Broncos - A division rivalry game that could go either way.  Bo Nix only threw for 60 yards last week.  Gardner Minshew also struggled- so it could be a low scoring game. 

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (-7.5) – The 49ers are dealing with a number of injuries, but the 49ers also seem to take care of lesser opponents.

New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks (-6)- Daniel Jones and the Giants have played their division opponents close in loses but might struggle on the road against an explosive Seattle offense. 

Green Bay Packers (-3.5) @ Las Angeles Rams – Jordan Love and the Packers looked much sharper in the 2^nd half against the Vikings and look to continue that momentum against the Rams who are still dealing with a slew of injuries to their wide receiving corps. 

Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5)- Both teams are dealing with injuries.  The Cowboys are playing without their top two defensive players in Lawrence and Parsons.  The Steelers are running out of healthy running backs with Jaylen Warren out.  While the Cowboys need this win more theoretically, the Steelers are already coming off a loss and cold bounce back. 

 

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders (-3.5)- The Browns defense could do better at slowing down the Jayden Daniels lead offense than either the Bengals or Cardinals.   Still, Washington’s defense did seem to find some semblance of competence as they only gave up 14 points, and only 7 after the Cardinals put up a score on the opening drive. 

 

New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs (-5)- Derek Carr did enough to lead the Saints to a win even though he struggled.  The Chiefs offense has struggled due to injuries to Pacheko and Rice.  The Saints goal line offense has struggled when Taysom Hill left with a rib injury.

 

Week 4 Against the Spread- 9-7

Week 4 Straight up – 9-7

Week 4  Locks – 1-1

2024 Against the Spread- 33-33

2024 Locks – 2-6

2024 Straight up- 39-25

2024 Week 4 Picks

Jayden Daniels and Joe Burrow lead their teams without a TD or turnover.  This was the first time since 1940 that both teams did that.

 

Dallas Cowboys(-5.5) @ New York Giants- The Cowboys have had the Giants number the last few meetings including some massive blowouts.  The Giants do have a better receiving corps and a better running game not to mention that Dallas is dealing with a few in.  For some reason I think the owboys will rebound after a loss to the Ravens although I would be somewhat delighted if Daniel Jones can pull the Giants back to .500. 

 

New Orleans Saints (+2) @ Atlanta Falcons- Cousins has looked better and Derek Carr struggled against the Eagles.     Not sure which version of either quarter back shows up but I have been more impressed with the Saints in weeks 1-2.

 

Los Angeles Rams(+3) @ Chicago Bears -  Caleb Williams did throw for 300 plus yards but the Rams looked tough against 49ers.  Kyren Williams had 3 touchdowns last week and appears to have absorbed the volume with Kupp and Puka out. 

 

Minnesota Vikings(+2.5) @ Green Bay Packers -  The Vikings look a lot better than last season but are dealing with a few injuries but so are the Packers.  Malik Willis has been playing well but the Vikings defense has been playing well.  Matt Lafleur has been coaching the Packers. 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)(LOCK) @ Indianapolis Colts -  This seems like a game where the Steeler defense makes Anthony Richardson’s life miserable.  Justin Fields isn’t exactly lighting it up though which could keep Indianapolis in it if Michael Pittman figures it out. 

 

Denver Broncos (+7.5) @ New York Jets -  Both teams came away with nice wins.  Aaron Rodgers is looking like Aaron Rodgers again and the Broncos blew out the Bucs.   Perhaps the Broncos defense can do enough the slow down the Broncos offense but the Jets have numerous offensive weapons that could pull ahead. 

Washington Commanders (+3.5) @ Arizona Cardinals-  Kingsbury goes against his former protégé Kyler Murray.  Jayden Daniels can’t keep playing this well although teams that have played the Lions the previous week have not covered since last year.   Although Washington’s defense could allow Marvin Harrison Jr. to have a great game. 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2) -  The Eagles go against the team that eliminated them last season.  It looks like AJ Brown is not going to play.

 

Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5) @ Carolina Panthers -   Andy Dalton goes against his former team and looks to put them at 0-4.  It still feels like the Bengals offense is finding its rhythm and they have to win.  Although they do remind me of Washington teams in the past that played down to the level of their competition.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) @ Houston Texans – Both teams got blown out.  The Texans offense could do enough to pull out the win but perhaps Jaguars will show signs of life after an embarrassing loss against a division rival.

 

New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers (-10) – The 49ers look to pull it together after losing to a division rival.  The Patriots were surprisingly competitive the first two weeks but Jacoby Brissett and the team seems to have regressed to the mean.  I wonder if we see Drake Maye soon.

 

Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders (+1) - Both teams are coming off bad losses to 0-2 teams where they were expected to win by large margins.  The Raiders with Minshew may come out on top given that Watson is having trouble putting it together.

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers (+8.5)- It maybe Heinickie time again if Herbert can’t go.  The Chiefs offense has been playing pretty poorly although their defense keeps getting the wins.

 

Buffalo Bills (+3) @ Baltimore Ravens – Josh Allen looked great against the Jaguars.  The Ravens defense has looked shaky.  The Ravens need Lamar to come through.  The Bills defense will be  

Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins (+1.5) – Perhaps the Dolphins will show signs of life at home against the Titans who also looked shaky against the Jets.

Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions (-5)- Both teams are undefeated but the Seahawks are dealing with a few injuries in the backfield.   The Lions look to solidify their case as being the best team in the NFC East after knocking off the Bucs last week. 

Week 3 Against the Spread- 9-7

Week 3 Straight up - 8-8

Week 3 Locks - 0-1

2024 Against the Spread- 24-26

2024 Locks – 1-5

2024 Straight up- 30-18

2024 Week 3 Picks

Gardner Minshew has won 

his last 2 games against Baltimore

New England Patriots (+6.5) @ New York Jets - Jets finally won a game but Rodgers’ streak of throwing less than 300 yards continues since week 13 of 2022.  The Patriots have been playing well including an overtime loss to the Seahawks.  

Baltimore Ravens (-1.5) @ Dallas - Must win game for Baltimore.  The Ravens need another target other than Flowers to step up including either Andrews or Likely.  

Los Angeles Chargers (+1.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - Justin Fields is slightly worse than Justin Herbert.  The Steelers have a better defense, but the chargers appear to be running the ball better with JK Dobbins

Houston Texans @ Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) - Jefferson may be out in this one, but the Vikings have been playing extremely well. 

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ New Orleans Saints - The Saints offense has taken a turn back into the time machine with two blowout wins.  The Eagles’ defense has looked off after giving up a last-minute drive to Cousins.  

Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals (+3) - Kyler Murray looked sharp against the Rams.  The Lions look to rebound from a tough loss last week against the Buccaneers.

Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts (-1) - Both teams suffered shaky losses with their young quarterbacks underperforming.  The Colts could get a win here if Jonathan Taylor plays well.  Caleb Williams, the number 1 overall pick, has yet to throw a touchdown.

Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks (-4.5) - Seattle looks to get a win with the Dolphins being without Tua.  

San Francisco 49ers (-7.5) @ Los Angeles Rams - The Rams are without two of their top wide receivers.  The 49ers will look to rebound at home and perhaps the home crowd will favor the 49ers.

Denver Broncos @ Tampa Buccaneers (-7) - The Buccaneers look for their 2nd win against a rookie quarterback this season.   

Green Bay Packers (+3) @ Tennessee Titans - Malik Willis returning back against his former team.  The Titans can potentially hang in with the Packers if Pollard can get it going on the ground, but coach Matt LaFleur drew up an excellent game plan to beat the Colts.  

New York Giants (+6.5) @ Cleveland Browns - Cleveland got their act together against the Jaguars.  The Giants looked like they found some rhythm with Malik Neighbors.

Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders (-5.5) (LOCK) - The Raiders will look to continue their case to be the Chiefs top rival as they go against the Panthers who will go with Andy Dalton.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) @ Falcons - The Chiefs seem like they are content with playing close games down to the wire.  The Falcons could keep the game close if Cousins plays like he did as he showed good poise despite coming off an Achilles Injury

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills (-6) - Questions remain about the Jaguars offensive line.  The Bills have extra time to prepare coming off a Thursday Night Game

Washington Commanders (+7.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Commanders only gave up 18 points against the Giants which is a stark improvement to what they showed against the Bucs.  Granted the Giants wounds may have been self-inflicted with a drop by Neighbors and an injured kicker.  But despite not scoring a touchdown, Jayden Daniel and the Commanders' offense did not put in the game.   The Bengals looked much better against the Chiefs but have already let a lesser opponent like the Patriots beat them.  The thing is the Commanders defense still looks like a work in progress meaning guys like Ja’Marr Chase could have a big game.

 2024 Week 2 Against the Spread- 15-19

2024 Locks – 1-4

2024 Straight up- 22-10

 

2024 Week 2 Picks

 

Baker Mayfield has been playing well, while the Browns are still

hoping DeShaun Watson can play better who they signed for $230 million

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins (-2.5)- Rivalry game that has favored the Bills in the last four games.  Both teams managed to overcome first half deficits to get wins.  Although the Bills have a slightly different look without Steffon Diggs, they have depth of targets in Coleman and Shakir and of course Allen can utilize his legs.   The Bills’ passing defense was on point last week as they held Kyler Murray to 168 passing yards and Marvin Harrison Jr. only had 4 yards. 

New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys (-7)- Dallas beat expectations by blowing out the Browns but the Saints were also impressive in their blowout against the Panthers who made the Panthers defense look like Swiss cheese.   I will say Derek Carr could have another good game although the Cowboys defense did enough to slow down Watson.   Perhaps the Saints can present more of a challenge although there is a chance Derek Carr lays an egg on the road. 

Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) @ Green Bay – With Jordan Love out, this game should favor the Colts who looked frisky against the Texans.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) @ Minnesota Vikings – Both teams took care of business last week.  The 49ers may still be without Christian McCaffrey, and they are on the road playing in East coast time so maybe the Vikings can find a way to keep it close especially since they looked really good last week.   

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) @ Detroit Lions – The Buccaneers secondary is banged up, but Baker Mayfield did a good job connecting with his receivers last week.  The Buccaneers need to run the ball to keep the game close, but the Bucs can certainly keep it close as they were a playoff team last season.

Seatle Seahawks @ New England Patriots (+3.5)- The Patriots defense can keep it going at home against a Seattle team that took a while to find its beat last week.

New York Giants @ Washington Commanders (-2.5) – Washington did seem to keep Jayden Daniel mostly intact after he rushed the ball 16 times.  Washington may keep it conservative to keep their QB safe.  Daniel Jones has his most wins against this Washington team although it looks like the Giants fans have turned their back on him and might be hard for him to put together a win.  Although Washington’s defense was putrid last week so anything is possible. Washington may be the team with strong tanking prospects if they lose this game. 

Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) @ Carolina Panthers- It would be quite stunning to see the Panthers make a turnaround against the Harbaugh lead Chargers.   The Panthers can provide more of a scoring punch although Herbert may have a great game if the Panthers defense continues to struggle.

Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) (LOCK) - After week 1, it looks like the Browns have a question mark at quarterback.   

 

New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans (+3.5) – The Titans kept it close against the Bears before suffering self-inflicted turnovers.   This could be an even game, but Rodgers may do enough to get his first win as a starting quarterback for the Jets.

 

Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens (-9.5) (LOCK) – This seems like a get right game for the Ravens.  Pierce has the Raiders playing tough and could devise a good game plan against Jackson, but Henry will probably be the difference here along with the Ravens homefield advantage.  Perhaps complacency can set in but given that the Ravens lost last week, it seems unlikely that the Ravens will take the Raiders lightly.

 

Los Angeles Rams (+1.5) @ Arizona Cardinals- Can the Cardinals slow down Cooper Kupp with a week to plan? Puka Nacua is out.  Marvin Harrison Jr. will try to get more than one reception here although the Rams dense looked decent in the second half before succumbing to the power running of David Montgomery.  The Rams will try to atone for a week 1 loss here.

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs (-6)-   Burrow looked sloppy against the Patriots-   He usually saves his best for the Chiefs.    For now, Kansas City has the momentum after a good win against the Ravens.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) @ Denver Broncos-   Justin Fields got his first win on the road.  Another win here for set up the Steelers nicely to compete for a division title.  The Bronco are slight underdogs because they have a rookie QB although it will be interesting to see if their defense can keep this one close. 

 

Chicago Bears (+7) @ Houston Texans - The Texans should be favorites here.  Caleb Williams still has to iron some things out and CJ Stroud still looks like the young quarterback that teams want to build around in the recent drafts.  The Bear’s defense does look good along with their running backs. 

 

Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) (LOCK)- Kirk Cousins on Monday Night against the Eagles seems like a déjà vu thing I have seen before.  Based on past history, I expect the Eagles to have a big game.  Jalen Hurts does need to play better as he threw i2 interceptions in week 1 but I expect the Eagles to play better at home as opposed to Brazil. 

2023 Against the Spread - 138-126-1

2023 Locks - 29-17

2023 Straight Up - 175-106

2024 Against the Spread- 7-9

2024 Locks – 1-1

2024 Straight up-12-4

2024 Week 1 NFL Picks

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens will look to run the ball 

this time around

 Bold-Spread

Italicized- Straight-up

Baltimore Ravens (+3) @ Kansas City Chiefs - The Ravens are aiming to get revenge for their playoff loss in the conference championship game where they were favored.  The Chiefs did turn up their defense a couple of gears to slow down the Ravens offense.  Now the Ravens acquired Derrick Henry. Kansas City does have homefield but maybe the Ravens can keep it close down the stretch and could be the more desperate team.

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)  (In Brazil)- The Packers almost made it to the conference championship game last season whereas the Eagles flamed out in epic fashion against the Bucs.   The Eagles have had an offseason to mull things over as they were able to get Saquon Barkley.  AJ Brown returns back healthy, and they traded for former Commanders’ wideout Jahan Dotson.  It will be interesting to see if the Eagles fixed their defense.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) @ Atlanta Falcons – The new look Falcons have Kirk Cousins behind center.  Rusell Wilson didn’t exactly inspire that much confidence with the Broncos.  Perhaps it will take a while for both teams to get it going with new offenses under center.  The Steelers defense may carry the day.

Tennessee Titans (+4.5) @ Chicago Bears - The Bears offense looks revamped with not only Caleb Williams but Rome Odunze.  The Titans lost Derrick Henry and are hoping for a comeback season from Tony Pollard. 

 

Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills (-5.5) - The Bills have a slightly better quarterback but theoretically Kyler Murray can hang with Allen given that the Cardinals may have more weapons on the outside.  The Bills appear to have a better running game with Cook and perhaps the defense of the Bills can step up at home. 

New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals (-8) (LOCK) – The Patriots’ defense is supposed to be bad this season and even without Joe Mixon the Bengals offense should get it done.

 

Houston Texans (-3) @ Indianapolis Colts – Perhaps Richardson and Jonathan Taylor can keep it close with the Texans although the offense of the Texans should be much better with the addition of Steffon Diggs and Joe Mixon.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins (-3.5) – The Dolphins appear to be a strong team that can run the ball well.  Question marks remain about the Jaguars and the consistency of Trevor Lawrence although the Jaguars could be a playoff caliber team if they can be more consistent.

 

Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (-4) -  There is a possibility of an upset if Bryce Young can be better but would like to see it first before going out on a limb and picking against the Saints although we have seen Carr blow games like hits before but also come through for stretches especially against weaker teams. 

 

Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants (+1.5)- Aaron Jones makes his debut with the Vikings.  Questions remain at the quarterback position for the Vikings so I am going to predict the Giants can do enough to slow down the Vikings offense and pull out a win although the prospect of Danny Dimes not showing up is decent.  Then again, Sam Darnold is not exactly a great option at quarterback for the Vikings either. 

 

Las Vegas Raiders (+3) @ Los Angeles Chargers– The Raiders fans should take over the Chargers’ stadium which could make this a neutral game field.  Can Jim Harbaugh give the Chargers a needed boost.  The Raiders were one of the better performing teams against the spread with Pierce, so this game is kind of a toss-up. 

 

Denver Broncos (+6) @ Seattle Seahawks – Perhaps the Broncos can be more a frisky team with Bo Nix under center although it does seem like a tough task to ask the rookie to come out and win on the road although maybe the Seahawks could be worse without head coach Pete Carroll.

Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) @ Cleveland Browns - The Cowboys typically start off the season well.  The Browns do get Watson back who was kind of lackluster despite a winning record.  Questions about the Cowboys o-line could be tested against a strong Cleveland defensive front.  The CeeDee Lamb connection could be too much for Cleveland as questions still remain about their running game. 

 

Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) - The Washington Commanders season could be going in a new direction although they do need to improve their defense.  Perhaps Peters has addressed the needs of this defense in the offseason, but it needs to be proven on the field against the Bucs who made the playoffs last season with Baker Mayfield.  A win here would be similar to when Washington won its home opener against the Saints although I would like to see how the offense runs under the new offensive coordinator.

 

Los Angeles Rams (+3.5) @ Detroit Lions - I don’t think much separates these two teams and maybe the Rams will be motivated against the team that knocked them out of the playoffs. 

 

New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) (LOCK) – It looks like the 49ers could be a strong team again.  I don’t think losing Chase Young will mean that much.  The Jets return with Aaron Rodgers but will need to see him prove it like Kirk Cousins that he has fully recovered from his Achilles injury although would be fun to see a good game on Monday Night.  

2023 Against the Spread - 138-126-1

2023 Locks - 29-17

2023 Straight Up - 175-106

Playoffs Against the Spread- 10-3

Playoffs Straight Up- 11-2

2024 Super Bowl Pick

Former Coaches of RG3 Kyle and Mike Shanahan 

have a chance to win a Super Bowl this Sunday 

Kansas City Chiefs (+2) vs San Francisco 49ers (@ Las Vegas) -  Kansas City was the worse team for most of the regular season but the Chiefs have been playing much better in the last few weeks including wins against he Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens.  Granted the Dolphins were short handed and playing on the road in freezing temperature but nonetheless the Chiefs have been much more formidable in the last few weeks.  In the meantime, the 49ers may have been considered the stronger team with a higher quality roster for most of the regular season but the NFC overall has been weaker at the top than the AFC.  Also, the 49ers struggled against two NFC North opponents- granted both of them beat the Chiefs but the 49ers have started off these halves slow and their defense has not looked as dominant.   For now, I will favor Mahomes over Purdy in close games although as being the last pick of the draft, Purdy may keep proving people wrong.

Last Week Against the Spread- 2-0

Last Week Straight Up - 2-0

2023 Against the Spread - 137-126-1

2023 Locks - 29-17

2023 Straight Up - 175-106

Playoffs Against the Spread- 9-3

Playoffs Straight Up- 10-2

2024 NFL Conference Championship Picks

Travis Kelce told Justin Tucker he needed to move because their QB Patrick Mahomes had to warm up. So Kelce kicked his ball away and threw his helmet.  

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - The body of work of the season suggests the Chiefs aren't going to be able to pull through.  Still, the Chiefs are coming in strongly.  The Chiefs will have to limit the Ravens better than the Texans did the previous week.  The weather is warmer than when the Chiefs just won on the run.  Governor Wes Moore is chugging beers with the fans which should create a favorable home atmosphere.  Taylor Swift did cancel a tour date in Tokyo to be in this game to see Travis Kelce.  

Detroit Lions (+7) @ San Francisco 49ers - Detroit Lions have been playing well although the 49ers have thwarted Jared Goff in the past.  Brock Purdy was limited by a Packers defense for most of the game due to an injury to Deebo Samuel.  For now I am predicting that the 49ers get back on track after a relatively poor showing against the 

Last Week Against the Spread- 3-1

Last Week Straight Up - 4-0

Last week Locks - 1-0

2023 Against the Spread - 135-126-1

2023 Locks - 29-17

2023 Straight Up - 173-106

2024 NFL Divisional Round

Detroit's Offensive Coordinator Ben Johnson has already interviewed with the Panthers and Commanders and sources consider him the favorite to land the Washington job

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens (-9.5) - CJ Stroud and the Texans have had a surprising season although it could be tough for the Texans to win on the road.  The cold weather and a bye could make the Ravens favorites here although CJ Stroud has been playing well, perhaps the cold weather could slow down the Texans

 Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) (LOCK) @ Buffalo Bills - This is a rematch of an earlier matchup of a controversial ending.  Either team could win this one, while the Bills will have homefield, the Chiefs will have Isiah Pacheco who did not play in the first meeting.   The Bills are also playing with 2 days less rest.

Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers (-9.5) - The Green Bay Packers are the youngest team to win a playoff game in NFL history.  The 49ers are coming off a bye and Kyle Shanahan usually has the 49ers prepared.  

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions (-6.5) - The Lions homefield could be a bit much for Baker Mayfield who looks like he isn't 100%.  The Lions didn't look to sharp in the 2nd half although the Rams look like they were a much tougher opponent than the Eagles.  

Last Week Against the Spread- 4-2

Last Week Straight Up - 4-2

Week 17 Locks - 1-0

2023 Against the Spread - 132-125-1

2023 Locks - 28-17

2023 Straight Up - 169-106

2024 NFL Wild Card Round

According to heavy.com, Tua is 0-4 under 40 degrees. Tonight game is expected to be -7. 

 Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans (+2) -  The Browns took care of the Texans fairly easily although they were missing CJ Stroud.  While Joe Flacco has been great, I see this as more of a toss up game.  It could be difficult for the Browns to win in the same manner twice in a row.  Even though the Texans are shorthanded.  The Texans even beat the Ravens earlier in the season.

Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4) - The Dolphins are dealing with several injuries and the weather could limit Tyreek Hill's effectiveness through the air.  The Chiefs are vulnerable due their lackluster regular season but typically pull it together at home.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+10) @ Buffalo Bills - Perhaps the Steelers can hang around in Buffalo due their running game and the Bills rush defense has been not as strong during times in the regular season.  Plus the Bills have managed to keep their games close against below average teams like the Patriots and Chargers.  Mason Rudolph isn't exactly a great quarterback but he is an upgrade over Mitch Trubisky.  The weather is not as terrible

Green Bay Packers (+7.5) @ Dallas Cowboys- The Packers are the youngest team to make the playoffs since the 1984 New England Patriots.   Jordan Love has closed the season strong.  Aaron Jones has been playing better.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -  The Eagles are going to be without AJ Brown.   Baker Mayfield is also banged up.   The Bucs may be a poor matchup for the Eagles given the blowout that happened earlier in the season although with the way the Eagles are playing, an upset could also happen.  

Los Angeles Rams (+3)(LOCK) @ Detroit Lions - Mathew Stafford returns home.  OC Ben Johnson has the Lions with a great offense but somehow I feel that Sean McVay can win the coaching matchup here.  

Week 18 Against the Spread- 13-3

Week 18 Straight Up - 13-3

Week 17 Locks - 4-0

2023 Against the Spread - 128-124-1

2023 Locks - 27-17

2023 Straight Up - 165-104

2023 Week 18 Picks

The Browns are scheduled to pay Watson a fully guaranteed contract and

 are likely stuck with him until 2026

Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - The Steelers need a win to get in while the Ravens have nothing to play for.  Pittsburgh already beat the Ravens earlier this season.  Huntley is a solid backup and the Ravens will likely try to play spoiler.

  

Houston Texans (-1) @ Indianapolis Colts - One should favor CJ Stroud in the clutch.

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (-6) - The Browns are resting all starters of consequence.

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions (-3) - The Lions do not have much to play for but the Vikings appeared to have mailed in the season.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.5) @ Tennessee Titans - The Jaguars could get Trevor Lawrence back and they already blew out the Titans earlier in the season. 

New York Jets (+2.5) @ New England Patriots-  The Jets have slightly better skill position players.  The Patriots may want to lose this game on purpose to secure the #2 pick.

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (-3) - The Saints have won 3 of their past 4 and the Falcons have lost 3 of their past 4.   Derrick Carr will try to keep it together one more week after an impressive performance against the Bucs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5) @ Carolina Panthers - The Bucs will try to keep their playoff hope alive while the Panthers failed to score last week.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-3)(LOCK) - The Packers have won 5 of their past 7 games while the Bears are also playing well.  The Packers are looking to complete the season sweep.

Denver Broncos @ Las Raiders (-2.5)(LOCK) - The Broncos do not appear to be that much worse without Russell Wilson but the Raiders are playing harder under Antonio Pierce.

Philadelphia Eagles(-5.5) @ New York Giants - The Giants did play the Rams tough but the Eagles are looking to get back in rhythm after a bad loss to the Cardinals plus keep their slight hope of a playoff hopes alive.  Although one can't rule out the Eagles letting their gas off the pedal if they see that Dallas is taking care of business.

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (+3) - It looks like the Cardinals are finally playing well with Kyler Murray back plus Kenneth Walker is banged up.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers (-3) - The Chiefs will be resting their starters.

Los Angeles Rams (+3.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - Both teams are resting their starters .

Dallas Cowboys (-13)(LOCK) @ Washington Commanders - Dallas is looking to secure a division title.  If Ron Rivera wins this game he will have one more win than loss for his career.  However, Washington is incentivized to lose to secure a chance at the #2 pick.

Buffalo Bills (-3)(LOCK) @ Miami Dolphins-  The Dolphins have less incentives to win this game than Buffalo.  Plus Miami is dealing with more injuries as Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert is ruled out.  

Week 17 Against the Spread- 9-7

Week 17 Straight Up - 11-5

Week 17 Locks - 1-2

2023 Against the Spread - 115-121-1

2023 Locks - 23-17

2023 Straight Up - 152-101